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The annual turnover rate of shares has risen to a half-century high of 95 percent, closing in on the all-time high of percent recorded in In , the turnover rate was just 12 percent.
Today, the average investor holds a share of stock for but a single year. The mutual fund industry, guardian of the lion's share of the savings flows of American families, is a vigorous contributor to these new highs in activity.
In contrast to the average five- to six-year holding period of the early 's, the average fund now holds a portfolio investment for little more than a year.
Once characterized as long-term investors, most fund managers can now be fairly described as short-term speculators.
And, taking the cue from their fund managers in the heady market atmosphere of the day, mutual fund investors themselves have become active traders.
They now hold their own fund shares, ostensibly purchased to meet long-term goals such as the building of a retirement nest egg, for an average of but three years.
Much of this activity takes place in ''no-fee'' marketplaces for trading fund shares — a serious misnomer, for the assets of the fund shareholders themselves are tapped to pay the bills.
These trends show no sign of abating. Indeed, stock trading over the Internet — one of the principal contributors to the surge in activity — is now said to account for more than 20 percent of all market volume.
Breathtaking technology enables investors to trade speculative Internet stocks over the hyperactive Internet stock market simply by pressing a few keys on their computers.
Is all this thrashing around in the stock market productive for investors? Unequivocally, it is not. The returns investors actually earn are inevitably represented by the returns earned in the stock market itself, less the costs investors incur in earning those returns.
The market is simply a gambling casino where investors as a whole try vainly to outpace the market. Beating the market is a zero-sum game, but only before costs are deducted.
In the stock market casino, it is the croupiers who win. And there are lots of croupiers, wielding wide rakes. The manager of the average equity fund rakes in annual revenue equal to 1.
The fund salesman receives, over time, at least 0. The brokers who handle the fund's vigorous trading activity collect perhaps another 1 percent.
And during the bull market, the Federal Government, the greediest croupier of them all, has been raking in another 3 percent per year from fund investors who pay taxes on the capital gains the fund distributes.
Investors are gradually becoming aware of the toll taken by fund costs. Net cash flows into equity funds in are running 30 percent below levels.
This seemingly trivial commission may or may not be a bargain, depending not only on how well the trade is executed, but on how often the investor trades.
The croupiers rake in more money as trading activity soars. People chase, they hope, and are ruled by fear and greed. That IS the stock market.
The companies, the paper, the banks and the computers are part of the business of Wall Street. If you treat Wall Street like a game or a casino, it is you that will get played.
At least in Vegas they will bring you some booze. PS — This joke of a chart is making the rounds on Twitter today. If you think you have to catch every turn of the market, you are going to have a short career or never enjoy the awesomeness of the markets.
Take a step back and remember you only have to catch a few moves. The markets are always open, but they will work just as well without you.
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